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Search: Posts Made By: Biker395
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05-28-20, 10:30 AM
Replies: 94
Views: 4,402
Posted By Biker395

Yep. The smaller the prevalence, the greater the...

Yep. The smaller the prevalence, the greater the accuracy the test must be to correctly estimate the prevalance.

Speaking of which ... are there any updated estimates for prevalence? I'm sure...
05-27-20, 10:14 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 391
Posted By Biker395

Yikes. Nope ... those photos do not look like...

Yikes. Nope ... those photos do not look like they used telephoto focal lengths to be misleading (never said the other pix were fake ... just that they were misleading, BTW).

FWIW, you wouldn’t...
05-27-20, 03:04 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 1,180
Posted By Biker395

Never ascribe to malice that which can be...

Never ascribe to malice that which can be adequately explained by incompetence or stupidity.
05-27-20, 08:52 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 156
Posted By Biker395

Strangely enough ... they are close enough in...

Strangely enough ... they are close enough in their inseam, so good enough for short rides. Lucky break!



I gave up on Cycliq and found a 3rd party mount that was made out of metal. I was...
05-27-20, 08:44 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 391
Posted By Biker395

I think the media focus appropriate. and I...

I think the media focus appropriate. and I understand the import of superspreader events. But there have been occasions in the past, where they misrepresented the truth and left people with damaging...
05-26-20, 09:39 PM
Replies: 94
Views: 4,402
Posted By Biker395

Isn't that title grossly misleading? The title...

Isn't that title grossly misleading? The title appears to be based on this statement from the CDC:

"For example, in a population where the prevalence is 5%, a test with 90% sensitivity and 95%...
05-26-20, 05:01 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 324
Posted By Biker395

I don't want to sound naive, but isn't this sort...

I don't want to sound naive, but isn't this sort of thing scrutinized pretty closely by the SEC? If there was any evidence of an intent to defraud, they'd be in it pretty deep, and this is not...
05-26-20, 04:16 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 156
Posted By Biker395

The Side Benefits of N+1

When my daughter needed a bike to commute to work with me, I gave her one of the stable.

When my future son in law got tired of riding a 60 pound Walmart bike for exercise during the COVID stuff,...
05-26-20, 02:45 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 443
Posted By Biker395

I'm guessing you are a glass is half empty kind...

I'm guessing you are a glass is half empty kind of person. lol

I'm not sure why you keep saying there is little evidence that people who recover have immunity. There is definitely evidence that...
05-26-20, 10:43 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 443
Posted By Biker395

FWIW, I believe "herd immunity" refers to the...

FWIW, I believe "herd immunity" refers to the immunity in the population, whether derived from people who become infected and develop natural antibodies, or by vaccine.
05-26-20, 09:21 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 391
Posted By Biker395

I would be hesitant to rely on news reports of...

I would be hesitant to rely on news reports of this kind of thing. In my experience, they present worse case anecdotes of behavior, not the norm. I walked down to our local beach on Saturday, and...
05-24-20, 06:58 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 722
Posted By Biker395

I've occasionally tried to lead group rides with...

I've occasionally tried to lead group rides with friends, and for me, the most difficult part is keeping the group together. You end up having to ride all over the place to keep track of who is...
05-24-20, 06:50 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 722
Posted By Biker395

Personally, had been staying away from group...

Personally, had been staying away from group rides (non-COVID health issues has me not riding at all recently). I'd ride with a friend or two, but we keep our distance while doing it, mask up when...
05-23-20, 09:57 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 722
Posted By Biker395

I’m wondering if you all read the above. They...

I’m wondering if you all read the above. They aren’t in one big (or even small) paceline, and are spacing between bikes. The ride appear to be more of a dispersed ride than a group ride in the big...
05-22-20, 09:34 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 360
Posted By Biker395

In my hood, masks are required indoors, and...

In my hood, masks are required indoors, and virtually all grocery shoppers are wearing masks (of varying quality). The market also has designated places for people to wait for checkout, as well as...
05-21-20, 10:59 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 1,495
Posted By Biker395

Of course it is our duty to avoid them. It is...

Of course it is our duty to avoid them. It is also their duty not to walk down the centerline. They are supposed to walk on the sidewalk when there is one, and when there isn't ... facing traffic. At...
05-21-20, 08:43 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 1,495
Posted By Biker395

Hard to say without being there ... this is one...

Hard to say without being there ... this is one side of the story, and from the stuff I bolded above, she appears to be prone to exaggeration.

I have seen both. Rude cyclists who pass too close...
05-20-20, 02:33 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 632
Posted By Biker395

I'm waiting for maskvana! lol I have three...

I'm waiting for maskvana! lol

I have three flavors of masks. Which I wear depends on the application and my perceived risk.

1. Cloth one my SO made.
2. Surgical mask obtained from the ER...
05-20-20, 02:16 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 1,593
Posted By Biker395

I posted this elsewhere, and thought it would be...

I posted this elsewhere, and thought it would be of interest here. Ugh.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/05/19/vaccine-experts-say-moderna-didnt-produce-data-critical-to-assessing-covid-19-vaccine/
05-20-20, 01:20 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 324
Posted By Biker395

Ugh. "Vaccine experts say Moderna didn’t...

Ugh.

"Vaccine experts say Moderna didn’t produce data critical to assessing Covid-19 vaccine"
...
05-20-20, 09:55 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 212
Posted By Biker395

I'm sorry about that. The resort town I was...

I'm sorry about that.

The resort town I was speaking of used to have areas zoned for short term rentals (appropriate for visitors) and areas zoned for long term (>30 days), which were mostly...
05-20-20, 09:07 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 212
Posted By Biker395

We have a second home in a resort area, and were...

We have a second home in a resort area, and were on a teleconference last night about the status of the town and it's businesses ... mostly restaurants. In a small town, news spreads fast, and the...
05-19-20, 07:33 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 324
Posted By Biker395

Interesting COVID discussion in this NOVA PBS...

Interesting COVID discussion in this NOVA PBS special. The woman depicted in that Business Insider story is also shown getting the vaccine at 40:26

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dz5WE3hgvBY
05-19-20, 09:31 AM
Replies: 57
Views: 1,593
Posted By Biker395

There is evidence of immunity for the SARS-Cov-2...

There is evidence of immunity for the SARS-Cov-2 corona virus in humans.

https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(20)30610-3

There is some dispute about the required level of prevalence or...
05-19-20, 09:21 AM
Replies: 63
Views: 1,484
Posted By Biker395

Not sure I agree with this. First, who the...

Not sure I agree with this. First, who the media call an "expert" often isn't anything of the sort, or their expert opinion is not mainstream ... there are a lot of rogue "experts." One of the...
05-19-20, 07:28 AM
Replies: 52
Views: 1,180
Posted By Biker395

This. Have a working BS meter, and take...

This. Have a working BS meter, and take advantage of the internet to find legitimate sources of information to investigate for yourself.
05-18-20, 06:41 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 253
Posted By Biker395

That sounds familiar. Wasn't there a debunked...

That sounds familiar. Wasn't there a debunked computer based study about a month ago that suggested that COVID was attacking blood hemoglobin?

Caveat: I know nothing of this other than they...
05-18-20, 05:21 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 324
Posted By Biker395

They may not have a hard time finding volunteers....

They may not have a hard time finding volunteers. Of course ... saying you'll volunteer is one thing ... actually doing it is another kettle of fish.
...
05-18-20, 02:53 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 1,593
Posted By Biker395

Unfortunately ... yea. Not to make more...

Unfortunately ... yea. Not to make more references to influenza, but that is supposedly how people responded to the tragic Spanish Flu pandemic. Lots of people died, and there were those who...
05-18-20, 08:51 AM
Replies: 19
Views: 324
Posted By Biker395

"After receiving both doses, the 15 volunteers at...

"After receiving both doses, the 15 volunteers at the weakest dose strength also had antibodies in their blood at similar levels as people who recovered from COVID-19."

Well .. that is encouraging.
05-18-20, 08:42 AM
Replies: 57
Views: 1,593
Posted By Biker395

At the risk of inciting ire for mentioning COVID...

At the risk of inciting ire for mentioning COVID in the same statement as influenza, the future I see for both is similar. I'm hopeful a vaccine is developed, and I believe that over time, we'll...
05-17-20, 03:56 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 1,593
Posted By Biker395

Never?

Never?
05-15-20, 01:49 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 607
Posted By Biker395

Lol ... it is not an official abbreviation. It...

Lol ... it is not an official abbreviation. It is an attempt to avoid the embarrassment the virtual certainty of me misspelling it.
05-13-20, 05:27 PM
Replies: 94
Views: 4,402
Posted By Biker395

A-b-b-o is a banned word? I agree with you ......

A-b-b-o is a banned word? I agree with you ... WTF.

Well, from what I can tell, it is a Norwegian cuss/slang word. Gotta love an international crowd.
05-13-20, 08:57 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 245
Posted By Biker395

It will be interesting to see if more people get...

It will be interesting to see if more people get their yearly flu vaccine after this. I schedule my yearly physical for late in the year for just that reason ... the flu vaccine is typically...
05-12-20, 09:43 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 607
Posted By Biker395

Ditto that. I've seen that remdesivir looked...

Ditto that. I've seen that remdesivir looked somewhat promising at first, but by itself, the benefits haven't been earthshaking. What makes the headlines is when a drug shows a "significant"...
05-12-20, 09:26 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 274
Posted By Biker395

Not even close. I think that just gets you to...

Not even close. I think that just gets you to stage II or late stage II or something to that effect. A lot of counties are going to have great difficulty meeting it.

Edit to add:

Here ya go...
05-11-20, 08:54 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 274
Posted By Biker395

FWIW, I just read elsewhere that the magic number...

FWIW, I just read elsewhere that the magic number is no more than 1 case for the previous 14 days per 10,000 residents. That was from a Mono County statement, and I presume it is the same for all...
05-11-20, 06:00 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 607
Posted By Biker395

To say that 90% of the patients treated with HCL...

To say that 90% of the patients treated with HCL recover successfully sounds odd to me. Isn't the recovery rate nearly that high anyway? Misleading to say the least.

I've been watching the...
05-11-20, 04:04 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 274
Posted By Biker395

Do you know if the Governor's mandate of how many...

Do you know if the Governor's mandate of how many COVID deaths are permitted in the county before easing restrictions is based on the population of that county?
05-10-20, 09:15 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 213
Posted By Biker395

Interesting he notes that the IFR is about 1%. ...

Interesting he notes that the IFR is about 1%. Depending on the location, I've read lower numbers, but some of those were based on tests with accuracy is less than ideal to say the least.
...
05-09-20, 01:50 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 370
Posted By Biker395

They’ve won a battle ... the war is far from over.

They’ve won a battle ... the war is far from over.
05-09-20, 10:20 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 370
Posted By Biker395

Personally, I do not see COVID being beat by...

Personally, I do not see COVID being beat by driving infections to zero with enforced quarantines, for all the reasons you mention. Not without an effective vaccine (as exists for measles).
...
05-09-20, 08:30 AM
Replies: 50
Views: 1,034
Posted By Biker395

Yikes. Sorry to hear that. Slipping on ice ......

Yikes. Sorry to hear that. Slipping on ice ... why is it you always hurt yourself the worst when you least expect it?

Head injuries suck. I still don't know how my crash happened ... no...
05-08-20, 05:22 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 291
Posted By Biker395

Interesting graphics. Interestingly, the total...

Interesting graphics. Interestingly, the total number of cases for Mono county is low, but for a time, they had the highest per-capita infection rate in the state.
05-08-20, 02:43 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 291
Posted By Biker395

I may be a cynic, but doesn't that raise the...

I may be a cynic, but doesn't that raise the spectre of people traveling from one county (where tight restrictions are still in place) to another (where they are not in place) in order to eat at a...
05-08-20, 08:52 AM
Replies: 50
Views: 1,034
Posted By Biker395

I've basically been on lockdown since January 9....

I've basically been on lockdown since January 9. Two months worth from a nasty bike crash, now another two from COVID. And I've been flippin sick for the last month on and off with a recurring...
05-07-20, 12:29 PM
Replies: 94
Views: 4,402
Posted By Biker395

Good idea to be tested if you think there is a...

Good idea to be tested if you think there is a real probability you were infected. Did your doc give you any timing information (e.g. ... presuming you were infected, how long after that infection...
05-07-20, 09:13 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 2,285
Posted By Biker395

Mine are all pretty much simple designs (plain or...

Mine are all pretty much simple designs (plain or perhaps with a horizontal stripe), or an event jersey ... something you have to earn by completing the ride/race. Since they really don't wear out,...
05-06-20, 03:02 PM
Replies: 28
Views: 882
Posted By Biker395

RAND is typically a good source of analytical...

RAND is typically a good source of analytical information, but I'm not sure I believe it, frankly. It looks too optimistic to me.

I have a nephew who promised to delve into the mathematics and...
Showing results 1 to 50 of 1000
 


 
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