Originally Posted by
Velo Vol
There should be an equation where we can figure out the probability it's at a particular spot right now.
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There is one for that. You can determine the probability of where you will find it, but you will have no idea of its velocity. And vise versa. I don't have the formula off the top of my head, but it should be easy to find. Then all you have to do is understand the math and apply it.