New Bike Prices Are Insane (Bike Economics)
#151
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Ignoring the whole comparison of bikes to cars and motorcycles do you know what the cost is behind making a top end bike(not just the frame)?
Whats the cost of 15-20 pounds of raw carbon to start?
Then you have to factor in all the man hours it takes to make the right frame for the bike? How many thousands of man hours did it take to come up with just the right shape for what a bike manufacturer wanted to accomplish? How many iterations did a company go through and how many hand built prototypes were made? All that time, effort, and raw material used to make the end result bike is factored into the retail price of the bike...
Whats the cost of 15-20 pounds of raw carbon to start?
Then you have to factor in all the man hours it takes to make the right frame for the bike? How many thousands of man hours did it take to come up with just the right shape for what a bike manufacturer wanted to accomplish? How many iterations did a company go through and how many hand built prototypes were made? All that time, effort, and raw material used to make the end result bike is factored into the retail price of the bike...
And all the "man hours"? Please. Tell me about how much more complicated a bicycle frame is than an internal combustion engine? And then talk to me about suspension design/geometry, and then talk to me about the aerodynamics of a motorcycle's bodywork, and then talk to me about the sophisticated electronics and equipment needed for ABS, engine management and emissions controls.
It's just not adding up, sorry.
Getting back to those "men" building the bikes, even assuming it's the super high end stuff not being built in China, I still don't see how it is costing Trek more than some of the smaller Italian brands building things by hand in the bel paese.
Originally Posted by jefnvk
So, I can't compare a high end race bike to similar things in the motorized world you initially brought up to try and make comparisons. Still got it.
$15k can get you that Trek, or it can get you a Ducati 959 (just to name one easy example). Yes, that Trek is a top of the line racing bike, but it is still an amalgamation of non-complicated structures and super simple mechanical parts. And it still needs a good rider to get anything done.
The Ducati has a marvel of an internal combustion engine, super sophisticated electronics, sophisticated suspension design and componentry, complicated emissions equipment and electronics, and a straightforward volume of raw material that outweighs 20 Treks.
And yes, the Ducati won't reach its potential without a good rider, but at least on the straights it only needs a good twist of the wrist to beat a lot of the competition, which just about anybody could manage. No, it's not their ultimate best racing bike (that simply isn't for sale), but it's a much better product for $15k. It's a no brainer, really. (Plus, you have all the morons out there that call them the "Ferrari of Motorcycles," for the losers that care about that stuff, but we can ignore that nonsense as well).
Odd, because a couple of the motorcycle nuts I work with would drop money on a touring Harley over any of those $15k sportbikes in a heartbeat, as they see value in a big engine on a heavy stable bike that can cruise all day long at highway speeds comfortably.
The point was that Harley's cost a significant premium for the name alone. Compare apples to apples, and you will see that any Victory, or Honda or Yamaha of a similar style will actually be a better bike AND cost less.
Really? And bikes that have to add weight to bring them up to the UCI minimum, with CF everything and electronic 11s groupsets are the exact same as 6 speed downtube steel bikes of the mid 80s?
Odd, because my 2005 F650GS has ABS, and it was nowhere near a high end bike back then or even close to the first year it was available on that bike. As far as power, my old 1984 Honda VF500 made 62HP, the current 500cc Honda offerings look to be about 50HP.
Also, again, you seem to be struggling with categories of motorcycles. Comparing a GS to a VF500? Oh dear.
You mean, all the technology advances that you just cited that make the bikes better than they were decades ago?
Anyway, one more time for all the people that keep missing it: this isn't about judging the way other people spend their money. This is about the value in a $15K bicycle.
#152
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Value is being weirdly defined by you. You seem to think that since you can't see the justification in the price, it isn't an appropriate price. That is completely ignoring the reality that once again, you are talking about a high end race bike, not something with a practical purpose. Yes, it is akin to a high end race motorcycle or car, no matter how you want to argue otherwise. Just as in those applications, you are paying for marginal gains that make a huge difference while racing, that in no way reflect the price of something mundane and average on the market..
In any case, you see to think it isn't an appropriate price based on the sum of its parts. Maybe you should actually try breaking it down:
https://www.specialized.com/us/en/s-...=240052-134294
$11500 bike, since that is the most expensive Specialized offers that I could easily find, and the cost of its components pulled from the MSRP on a google search:
CHAIN SRAM Red 22
BOTTOM BRACKET SRAM BB30, 68mm
$291+$779+340 (respectively for arms,power meter, bearings) CRANKSET S-Works FACT carbon, Quarq Power Meter, w/CeramicSpeed ceramic bearings
$2900 (complete groupset)SHIFT LEVERS SRAM eTap disc
CASSETTE SRAM Red 22, 11-28t
FRONT DERAILLEUR SRAM eTap, Braze-on, wireless
CHAINRINGS 52/36T
REAR DERAILLEUR SRAM eTap
$1375 REAR WHEEL Roval CLX 64 Disc rim, Roval AFD2, Centerlock, CeramicSpeed bearings, DT Swiss 240 internals, 11-speed, 12x142mm thru-axle, 24h
INNER TUBES 700x18/25mm, 80mm Presta valve
$80 FRONT TIRE Turbo Cotton, 700x26mm, 320 TPI
$80 REAR TIRE Turbo Cotton, 700x26mm, 320 TPI
$1025 FRONT WHEEL Roval CLX 64 Disc rim, Roval AFD1, Centerlock, CeramicSpeed bearings, 21h
$300 SADDLE S-Works Power, 143mm, carbon rails, carbon base, synthetic leather
$25 TAPE S-Wrap w/ Sticky gel
$182 SEATPOST Specialized Venge Aero seatpost, FACT carbon
$121 STEM Venge ViAS aero
$300 HANDLEBARS S-Works Aerofly ViAS, 25mm
PEDALS Nylon, 105x78x28mm, loose balls w/ reflectors
$35 SEAT BINDER Specialized Venge assembly
FORK S-Works FACT 11r carbon, full monocoque
FRAME S-Works FACT 11r carbon, Rider-First Engineered™, Win Tunnel Engineered, internal cable routing, 12x142mm thru-axle, carbon OSBB, flat disc mount
You come in $33 north of $7800 in those components, meaning you've got under $3700 for the frame and fork. A quick Google search will turn up any number of frames at or above that price: https://www.google.com/search?tbm=sh...w=1350&bih=755
Sounds to me as if the price is simply a realization of how much high end components cost.
Last edited by jefnvk; 04-11-18 at 11:04 AM.
#153
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15-20 lbs of raw carbon fiber? At the prices that Trek is sourcing it? Um, I don't think that is where the money is going.
And all the "man hours"? Please. Tell me about how much more complicated a bicycle frame is than an internal combustion engine? And then talk to me about suspension design/geometry, and then talk to me about the aerodynamics of a motorcycle's bodywork, and then talk to me about the sophisticated electronics and equipment needed for ABS, engine management and emissions controls.
It's just not adding up, sorry.
Getting back to those "men" building the bikes, even assuming it's the super high end stuff not being built in China, I still don't see how it is costing Trek more than some of the smaller Italian brands building things by hand in the bel paese.
And all the "man hours"? Please. Tell me about how much more complicated a bicycle frame is than an internal combustion engine? And then talk to me about suspension design/geometry, and then talk to me about the aerodynamics of a motorcycle's bodywork, and then talk to me about the sophisticated electronics and equipment needed for ABS, engine management and emissions controls.
It's just not adding up, sorry.
Getting back to those "men" building the bikes, even assuming it's the super high end stuff not being built in China, I still don't see how it is costing Trek more than some of the smaller Italian brands building things by hand in the bel paese.
You glossed over the rest of my post about how each component has a cost and also has R&D. Just because you dont "see" these costs doesnt mean there isnt a price for these things. Just because you are sure a bike is not complicated stuff at the high end you overlook all the proof of what it costs. A motorcycle may be more complicated in parts but that doesnt mean the bike didnt take as much work to make. In actuality it probably means the bike is harder to innovate on because they only have a limited amount of things they can change on a bike.
#154
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$15,000 is an astronomically high price for a bike. For pretty much any product, when you get the absolute top of the line you aren't going to get good value for your money unless even the smallest marginal improvement makes a big difference to you.
$15,000 is an economical price for a motorcycle. As such, you get good value for the money... just like someone who spends $800 on a bicycle.
Of course the motorcycle sounds like a better deal. It is... unless you are a serious cyclist who derives great value from small marginal benefits in your equipment, or at least takes great pleasure in the idea.
Next, you should got a motorcycle forum and complain that the top end motorcycles are terrible bargains because you can buy a decent house for the same amount of money.
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Even if people were not happy with this thread starting, some of the responses here have been great to read and very informative.
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Nope - you're wrong.
The basket of goods used to make this "calculation" isn't the same today as it was years ago.
Sure, they try to make it look the same, but it's not.
For example, that basket of goods from 15 years ago might have contained salmon, olive oil, and steak.
But today, that same basket might contain talapia, corn oil, and ground beef.
The catch is that they make it look legit by calling the contents fish, cooking oil, and beef.
I used these goods to make my point. I have no idea as to whether or not those particular goods are actually used in the calculations - but the point is that they pretend to compare the same goods, when in reality they are only similar goods.
...not sure where I got that from - probably the interwebs.
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The catch is that they make it look legit by calling the contents fish, cooking oil, and beef.
I used these goods to make my point. I have no idea as to whether or not those particular goods are actually used in the calculations - but the point is that they pretend to compare the same goods, when in reality they are only similar goods.
...not sure where I got that from - probably the interwebs.
I used these goods to make my point. I have no idea as to whether or not those particular goods are actually used in the calculations - but the point is that they pretend to compare the same goods, when in reality they are only similar goods.
...not sure where I got that from - probably the interwebs.
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Fools and their money. I used to hit up to 60 mph on my old schwinn cruiser that cost 99 bucks. Blow right past all the guys on their fancy (for the day) ten speeds.
I can see the amount of money being worth it for a pro athlete or if you do a great deal of offroading, but most people are just deluding themselves.
The real irritation today is that the rider who wants simple reliability for a reasonable price just isn't served any more. 400-500 bucks just to have a bike that won't fall apart in a year or two.
I can see the amount of money being worth it for a pro athlete or if you do a great deal of offroading, but most people are just deluding themselves.
The real irritation today is that the rider who wants simple reliability for a reasonable price just isn't served any more. 400-500 bucks just to have a bike that won't fall apart in a year or two.
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Fools and their money. I used to hit up to 60 mph on my old schwinn cruiser that cost 99 bucks. Blow right past all the guys on their fancy (for the day) ten speeds.
I can see the amount of money being worth it for a pro athlete or if you do a great deal of offroading, but most people are just deluding themselves.
The real irritation today is that the rider who wants simple reliability for a reasonable price just isn't served any more. 400-500 bucks just to have a bike that won't fall apart in a year or two.
I can see the amount of money being worth it for a pro athlete or if you do a great deal of offroading, but most people are just deluding themselves.
The real irritation today is that the rider who wants simple reliability for a reasonable price just isn't served any more. 400-500 bucks just to have a bike that won't fall apart in a year or two.
Things cost money, it is a fact of life. I hate spending it, but realistically expecting a quality bike under $400 is really starting to pinch pennies. Even then, you can still buy something like this for $250, if all you care about is basic functionality that should last a few seasons: https://www.bikesdirect.com/products/...c1-holiday.htm
#161
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Nope - you're wrong.
The basket of goods used to make this "calculation" isn't the same today as it was years ago.
Sure, they try to make it look the same, but it's not.
For example, that basket of goods from 15 years ago might have contained salmon, olive oil, and steak.
But today, that same basket might contain talapia, corn oil, and ground beef.
The catch is that they make it look legit by calling the contents fish, cooking oil, and beef.
I used these goods to make my point. I have no idea as to whether or not those particular goods are actually used in the calculations - but the point is that they pretend to compare the same goods, when in reality they are only similar goods.
...not sure where I got that from - probably the interwebs.
The basket of goods used to make this "calculation" isn't the same today as it was years ago.
Sure, they try to make it look the same, but it's not.
For example, that basket of goods from 15 years ago might have contained salmon, olive oil, and steak.
But today, that same basket might contain talapia, corn oil, and ground beef.
The catch is that they make it look legit by calling the contents fish, cooking oil, and beef.
I used these goods to make my point. I have no idea as to whether or not those particular goods are actually used in the calculations - but the point is that they pretend to compare the same goods, when in reality they are only similar goods.
...not sure where I got that from - probably the interwebs.
You raise a good point about the Market Basket… it does change over time, but it is not because the Bureau of Labor Statistics is trying to deceive anyone about the rate of inflation. It changes (as do the weights applied to different goods’ price changes) as people’s consumption habits change. There is no conspiracy. The people who maintain this data are not political appointees.
But generally, you and the previous poster are just plain wrong. Sure, it partly depends on what we might consider to be “high” inflation - but by any reasonable comparison (historical or comparative) inflation in the US has been very low for at least the past 15 - 20 years. Hell, the highest inflation rate we’ve had in the past couple decades was about 4% in 2007. That’s pretty low.
Here is some actual data on the CPI and food prices in particular: the CPI, and food price inflation.
Last edited by Koyote; 04-13-18 at 06:29 AM.
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Yeah...I wonder about the logic "My super-deluxe bike weighs only_____ pounds!" vs......"Lose some weight, buddy, because it's much less expensive."
Yep, diminishing returns. You only have so much power in your legs. Your $15K Technocycle won't get you up a hill any faster than a $2k bike or my Double Butted Gaspipe....if my legs are stronger than yours.
Yep, diminishing returns. You only have so much power in your legs. Your $15K Technocycle won't get you up a hill any faster than a $2k bike or my Double Butted Gaspipe....if my legs are stronger than yours.
#164
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The point of diminishing return? Unlike cars and other such machines a bike no matter how expensive is only as good as its engine. Even if youcould afford aStradivariusits useless unless you know how to play it.
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Fools and their money. I used to hit up to 60 mph on my old schwinn cruiser that cost 99 bucks. Blow right past all the guys on their fancy (for the day) ten speeds.
I can see the amount of money being worth it for a pro athlete or if you do a great deal of offroading, but most people are just deluding themselves.
The real irritation today is that the rider who wants simple reliability for a reasonable price just isn't served any more. 400-500 bucks just to have a bike that won't fall apart in a year or two.
I can see the amount of money being worth it for a pro athlete or if you do a great deal of offroading, but most people are just deluding themselves.
The real irritation today is that the rider who wants simple reliability for a reasonable price just isn't served any more. 400-500 bucks just to have a bike that won't fall apart in a year or two.
The question I have is, did blowing past cars at 60 mph on an old cruiser bring down your blood pressure?
Last edited by MRT2; 04-12-18 at 05:07 PM.
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Ok, so I'm still fairly new here, and also fairly new to the sport/hobby (I've always ridden bikes here and there, and grew up on them as a kid, but never this much as an adult). When getting into bikes, I've taken the classic and vintage route for several reasons, and while price was one of them, it wasn't a major factor.
So recently I've been curious about more modern bikes, and taking a look around at what people are selling. But just now I followed a link to the Trek website where someone suggested a commuter bike for a poster in here, and I decided to click on the "Road Bikes" section to see what was going on.
And, well, OH MY GOD. Over $15K for a bicycle. For a freakin' bicycle! Yes, it's top of the line. Yes, it's carbon fiber. But seriously? Even the slightly lesser models were over $10k, while more "run of the mill" stuff is still around $5k.
What is this madness?
Now I should also add that I have a background in motorcycles, having owned a few and used them as my only source of transportation/commutting (no car, no bicycle, only public transport as an alternative) for few year stretch. So do you know what $15K will buy you in the motorcycle world? Something very, very decent. Something that will blow the doors off of just about any sports car on the road.
Maybe cars are more your speed? And you know what, there are quite a few entry level cars that come in around the $10K mark these days. Yes, the entire car... all four wheels of it.
So, seriously, how in the world can they justify these bike prices? I don't want to hear about R&D costs, because just as much money, if not more, is spent on designing a good motorcycle or even a basic car. And I don't want to hear about materials, because no way in heck 15lbs of whatever the heck they are using can cost more than hundreds of lbs of motorcycle material, or even more car material (no matter how cheap it is). Labor? Are you kidding me? Your hand-laid carbon fiber still isn't taking more time and man (or robot) hours than assembling a motorcycle or car. Just the complexity of an internal combustion engine alone...
I get it. These companies need to survive, and their sales of high end bikes won't approach those of bigger car and motorcycle brands, so they need higher margins and whatnot. I get that. But still. Something is seriously wrong here.
So recently I've been curious about more modern bikes, and taking a look around at what people are selling. But just now I followed a link to the Trek website where someone suggested a commuter bike for a poster in here, and I decided to click on the "Road Bikes" section to see what was going on.
And, well, OH MY GOD. Over $15K for a bicycle. For a freakin' bicycle! Yes, it's top of the line. Yes, it's carbon fiber. But seriously? Even the slightly lesser models were over $10k, while more "run of the mill" stuff is still around $5k.
What is this madness?
Now I should also add that I have a background in motorcycles, having owned a few and used them as my only source of transportation/commutting (no car, no bicycle, only public transport as an alternative) for few year stretch. So do you know what $15K will buy you in the motorcycle world? Something very, very decent. Something that will blow the doors off of just about any sports car on the road.
Maybe cars are more your speed? And you know what, there are quite a few entry level cars that come in around the $10K mark these days. Yes, the entire car... all four wheels of it.
So, seriously, how in the world can they justify these bike prices? I don't want to hear about R&D costs, because just as much money, if not more, is spent on designing a good motorcycle or even a basic car. And I don't want to hear about materials, because no way in heck 15lbs of whatever the heck they are using can cost more than hundreds of lbs of motorcycle material, or even more car material (no matter how cheap it is). Labor? Are you kidding me? Your hand-laid carbon fiber still isn't taking more time and man (or robot) hours than assembling a motorcycle or car. Just the complexity of an internal combustion engine alone...
I get it. These companies need to survive, and their sales of high end bikes won't approach those of bigger car and motorcycle brands, so they need higher margins and whatnot. I get that. But still. Something is seriously wrong here.
I totally agree with you. Bikes nowadays are way too pricey.
#168
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cycling is for rich people. So is the sport at the competitive level. Us folks with lesser means need to understand this. This is why the tour de France has zero global interest and is just boring as hell to watch.
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The Tour de France is second only to the (football/soccer) World Cup in global viewership.
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Originally Posted by Obeast
cycling is for rich people. So is the sport at the competitive level. Us folks with lesser means need to understand this. This is why the tour de France has zero global interest and is just boring as hell to watch..
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From a simple smell test, I have a particularly hard time believing that 3 billion people globally, nearly half the world, are actually watching the TdF, more than would be watching Cricket, F1, or the Champions League finals popular in countries with far larger populations than the areas into bike racing.
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Sarcasm, I hope?
I've seen that before, but I've got some doubts as to how it is actually calculated. If that is a three week viewership, it is a fair guess the number is 1/20th or so of that, with the same group of folks watching every day. You can at least make the argument for the WC and Olympics that different people are watching different days, not so easy with TdF.
From a simple smell test, I have a particularly hard time believing that 3 billion people globally, nearly half the world, are actually watching the TdF, more than would be watching Cricket, F1, or the Champions League finals popular in countries with far larger populations than the areas into bike racing.
I've seen that before, but I've got some doubts as to how it is actually calculated. If that is a three week viewership, it is a fair guess the number is 1/20th or so of that, with the same group of folks watching every day. You can at least make the argument for the WC and Olympics that different people are watching different days, not so easy with TdF.
From a simple smell test, I have a particularly hard time believing that 3 billion people globally, nearly half the world, are actually watching the TdF, more than would be watching Cricket, F1, or the Champions League finals popular in countries with far larger populations than the areas into bike racing.
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That 3.5 billion number still sounds incredibly suspect to me though. It would seem even high for the World Cup, although I am less likely to argue that than TdF, it is still literally every other person in the world. If they're good at anything though, sports organizations are masters at manipulating attendance/viewership figures.