Looking at this forecast - would you go for a gravel century on Saturday?
04-11-18, 04:23 PM
#1
meh
Thread Starter
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Hopkins, MN
Posts: 4,704
Bikes: 23 Cutthroat, 21 CoMotion Java; 21 Bianchi Infinito; 15 Surly Pugsley; 11 Globe Daily; 09 Kona Dew Drop; 96 Mondonico
Mentioned: 22 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1111 Post(s)
Liked 1,013 Times
in
519 Posts
Looking at this forecast - would you go for a gravel century on Saturday?
Untitled.png
L-M-L was scheduled for March 24th, there was a blizzard foretasted so they postponed the race, the blizzard never happened. The back up date is this Saturday and that ^^^ is the forecast.
I'm a tough rider (I've proved it many times) but I don't want to drive the 30 miles to the start of this race... then ride in those conditions for ~8 hours
Oh well, it's Minnesota, the forecast will change 6-7 times between now and Saturday.
Oh, and for those that don't know about it, they are forecasting thunder snow ... yes, that's a thing and it's some of the most brutal conditions you'll ever see.
L-M-L was scheduled for March 24th, there was a blizzard foretasted so they postponed the race, the blizzard never happened. The back up date is this Saturday and that ^^^ is the forecast.
I'm a tough rider (I've proved it many times) but I don't want to drive the 30 miles to the start of this race... then ride in those conditions for ~8 hours
Oh well, it's Minnesota, the forecast will change 6-7 times between now and Saturday.
Oh, and for those that don't know about it, they are forecasting thunder snow ... yes, that's a thing and it's some of the most brutal conditions you'll ever see.
04-11-18, 04:33 PM
#2
Full Member
No, I wouldn't do it. However, if YOU decide to do it, I think you have a good chance of outdoing the grueling ordeal you put yourself through in Land Run 100 2017. My hat's off to you!
04-11-18, 04:41 PM
#3
Senior Member
Join Date: Oct 2013
Location: Mich
Posts: 7,394
Bikes: RSO E-tire dropper fixie brifter
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 6 Post(s)
Liked 2,978 Times
in
1,920 Posts
i cant clearly see what is in the image. Desktop viewing it..
__________________
-Oh Hey!
-Oh Hey!
04-11-18, 07:36 PM
#4
Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2017
Location: Central Io-way
Posts: 2,673
Bikes: LeMond Zurich, Giant Talon 29er
Mentioned: 17 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1221 Post(s)
Liked 629 Times
in
472 Posts
The ice would scare me. And the 26°F temps. And the howling wind. The two inches of snow isn't going to be easy getting through. That sounds insanely punishing.
04-11-18, 09:39 PM
#7
Sunshine
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Des Moines, IA
Posts: 16,614
Bikes: '18 class built steel roadbike, '19 Fairlight Secan, '88 Schwinn Premis , Black Mountain Cycles Monstercross V4, '89 Novara Trionfo
Mentioned: 123 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 10964 Post(s)
Liked 7,491 Times
in
4,189 Posts
So many charts and colors. Ill get back to you once i figure out what all of em are telling me.
04-12-18, 06:28 AM
#8
meh
Thread Starter
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Hopkins, MN
Posts: 4,704
Bikes: 23 Cutthroat, 21 CoMotion Java; 21 Bianchi Infinito; 15 Surly Pugsley; 11 Globe Daily; 09 Kona Dew Drop; 96 Mondonico
Mentioned: 22 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1111 Post(s)
Liked 1,013 Times
in
519 Posts
Here's a link to the NOAA site with the graphic forecast and descriptions for the graphics (I've been using this so long I'm fluent in these colors 
)
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...unit=0&dd=&bw=
If this forecast holds, I expect I'll skip driving to the race, I don't trust driving the highways to get to the race. But I'm looking to ride out my house, there's a rail-trail a couple miles from home ... and a couple tap rooms along it.
)https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...unit=0&dd=&bw=
If this forecast holds, I expect I'll skip driving to the race, I don't trust driving the highways to get to the race. But I'm looking to ride out my house, there's a rail-trail a couple miles from home ... and a couple tap rooms along it.
04-12-18, 07:19 AM
#9
Me duelen las nalgas
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Texas
Posts: 13,513
Bikes: Centurion Ironman, Trek 5900, Univega Via Carisma, Globe Carmel
Mentioned: 199 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 4560 Post(s)
Liked 2,802 Times
in
1,800 Posts
Nope. 100+F, yup. But Texans are crazy in the opposite direction.
04-12-18, 08:01 AM
#10
Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2017
Posts: 7,887
Mentioned: 38 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 6972 Post(s)
Liked 10,968 Times
in
4,692 Posts
No one else can answer that for you.
04-12-18, 09:18 AM
#11
Senior Member
Join Date: Dec 2010
Location: northern Deep South
Posts: 8,904
Bikes: Fuji Touring, Novara Randonee
Mentioned: 36 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2604 Post(s)
Liked 1,933 Times
in
1,213 Posts
With an inch of fresh snow on the ground, and 5" more expected during the ride, I wouldn't try it on a gravel bike. Do you have one of the super-fat tire bikes? Surly Snow Cream or whatever that one's named?
04-12-18, 09:34 AM
#12
Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 2,595
Mentioned: 12 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 608 Post(s)
Liked 352 Times
in
225 Posts
Read the title again, the one with the question mark.
To OP it doesn't sound fun with that kind of weather but if you do go and finish it certainly would be a badge of honor. Personally I wouldn't go, there are going to plenty of nicer days to ride your bike.
To OP it doesn't sound fun with that kind of weather but if you do go and finish it certainly would be a badge of honor. Personally I wouldn't go, there are going to plenty of nicer days to ride your bike.
04-12-18, 09:39 AM
#13
Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2017
Posts: 7,887
Mentioned: 38 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 6972 Post(s)
Liked 10,968 Times
in
4,692 Posts
04-12-18, 09:52 AM
#14
Senior Member
Join Date: Sep 2012
Location: Brighton, Michigan
Posts: 662
Bikes: Optima Baron LR, '14 Nishiki Maricopa,'87 Trek 330 Elance, '89 Miyata 1400, '85 Peugeot PGN10, '04 Fuji Ace, '06 Giant Rincon, '95 Giant Allegre, '83 Trek 620, '86 Schwinn High Sierra
Mentioned: 1 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 225 Post(s)
Liked 163 Times
in
107 Posts
No.
I'm done with the cold.
I'm done with the cold.
04-12-18, 09:56 AM
#15
- Soli Deo Gloria -
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Northwest Georgia
Posts: 14,779
Bikes: 2018 Rodriguez Custom Fixed Gear, 2017 Niner RLT 9 RDO, 2015 Bianchi Pista, 2002 Fuji Robaix
Mentioned: 235 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 6844 Post(s)
Liked 736 Times
in
469 Posts
Great idea for a thread! I'm interested in this too.
Can someone please tell me if I should cycle tonight based on this easy to understand and totally intuitive graphic which does not require jumping through hoops and/or a PhD in Rube Goldberg Analytics to interpret?
Thanks?
-Tim-
Can someone please tell me if I should cycle tonight based on this easy to understand and totally intuitive graphic which does not require jumping through hoops and/or a PhD in Rube Goldberg Analytics to interpret?
Thanks?
-Tim-
04-12-18, 10:06 AM
#16
meh
Thread Starter
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Hopkins, MN
Posts: 4,704
Bikes: 23 Cutthroat, 21 CoMotion Java; 21 Bianchi Infinito; 15 Surly Pugsley; 11 Globe Daily; 09 Kona Dew Drop; 96 Mondonico
Mentioned: 22 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1111 Post(s)
Liked 1,013 Times
in
519 Posts
^^^^ 
NAILED IT!
NAILED IT!
04-12-18, 03:09 PM
#17
Senior Member
Join Date: Oct 2013
Location: Mich
Posts: 7,394
Bikes: RSO E-tire dropper fixie brifter
Mentioned: 0 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 6 Post(s)
Liked 2,978 Times
in
1,920 Posts
will there be bears?
__________________
-Oh Hey!
-Oh Hey!
04-12-18, 03:22 PM
#18
Interocitor Command
Great idea for a thread! I'm interested in this too.
Can someone please tell me if I should cycle tonight based on this easy to understand and totally intuitive graphic which does not require jumping through hoops and/or a PhD in Rube Goldberg Analytics to interpret?
Thanks?
-Tim-
Can someone please tell me if I should cycle tonight based on this easy to understand and totally intuitive graphic which does not require jumping through hoops and/or a PhD in Rube Goldberg Analytics to interpret?
Thanks?
-Tim-
04-12-18, 04:31 PM
#19
on your lawn
Here lies Hypno Toad
The winter storm was forebode
But BF told him to ride
So he did and so he died
One less cyclist on the road
The winter storm was forebode
But BF told him to ride
So he did and so he died
One less cyclist on the road
04-12-18, 07:25 PM
#20
Senior Member
Join Date: Aug 2017
Location: Central Io-way
Posts: 2,673
Bikes: LeMond Zurich, Giant Talon 29er
Mentioned: 17 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1221 Post(s)
Liked 629 Times
in
472 Posts
Here's a link to the NOAA site with the graphic forecast and descriptions for the graphics (I've been using this so long I'm fluent in these colors )
https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...unit=0&dd=&bw=
If this forecast holds, I expect I'll skip driving to the race, I don't trust driving the highways to get to the race. But I'm looking to ride out my house, there's a rail-trail a couple miles from home ... and a couple tap rooms along it.
)https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClic...unit=0&dd=&bw=
If this forecast holds, I expect I'll skip driving to the race, I don't trust driving the highways to get to the race. But I'm looking to ride out my house, there's a rail-trail a couple miles from home ... and a couple tap rooms along it.
Totally sick of this weather.
04-12-18, 09:15 PM
#22
- Soli Deo Gloria -
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Northwest Georgia
Posts: 14,779
Bikes: 2018 Rodriguez Custom Fixed Gear, 2017 Niner RLT 9 RDO, 2015 Bianchi Pista, 2002 Fuji Robaix
Mentioned: 235 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 6844 Post(s)
Liked 736 Times
in
469 Posts
I live 20 miles from TWC and find them to be very accurate here in Atlanta. They had better be able to get their own forecast right.
I've actually been to the studio during shows, stood just off camera while they broadcast live and one of the former on-screen meteorologists is a friend of my family. Her kids and mine were in the same class.
The HD studio is really cool.
-Tim-
04-12-18, 10:26 PM
#23
Senior Member
Nope. Put me down in the 'wuss' category. Cold, wind and rain? BTDT. Back when the bike was my only form of transport, I did it. Not now, by choice. Now when I ride, I want to be wearing shorts. No leggings or tights. No rain gear.
The 'older and wiser' thing comes in to play...
The 'older and wiser' thing comes in to play...
04-13-18, 06:50 AM
#24
meh
Thread Starter
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Hopkins, MN
Posts: 4,704
Bikes: 23 Cutthroat, 21 CoMotion Java; 21 Bianchi Infinito; 15 Surly Pugsley; 11 Globe Daily; 09 Kona Dew Drop; 96 Mondonico
Mentioned: 22 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 1111 Post(s)
Liked 1,013 Times
in
519 Posts
04-14-18, 08:10 PM
#25
Occam's Rotor
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 7,248
Mentioned: 61 Post(s)
Tagged: 0 Thread(s)
Quoted: 2366 Post(s)
Liked 2,331 Times
in
1,164 Posts
By biggest concerns today were overheating and too much UV exposure. Being from Chicago, you have my sympathies. Seems like quite a drawn-out winter.