Lack of 1km fliers in world tour racing
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Lack of 1km fliers in world tour racing
Maybe this should be in the professional forum, but I think it is an interesting discussion for amateur racing too.
Why don't we see more 1km or even 1 mile fliers on flattish stages of world tour stage races? For certain types of riders in amateur racing, and also in one-day professional racing, late attacks seem to work well. Why doesn't this translate over to stage races?
Why don't we see more 1km or even 1 mile fliers on flattish stages of world tour stage races? For certain types of riders in amateur racing, and also in one-day professional racing, late attacks seem to work well. Why doesn't this translate over to stage races?
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My guess is at the 1k or so point on flat stages the sprint teams' trains are pushing the pace so hard that it would be quite difficult to get away.
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pro teams have plans and actually execute on them. Amateur races are susceptible to guys at the front looking at each other, or at the one dominant amateur team, while a solo guy rides away to win.
should also note how exceedingly rare 1km fliers that work are. I've seen 2 in like 100 races.
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^ True, you do get an attempt every now and then though. I thought one of the stronger guys (Cancellara maybe??) tried it at the end of Stage 1 of the Tour de France last year. Jumped at 1k and caught at like 400m to go. If anyone could have stayed away, it should have been someone like that. Too much pace, too much real organization.
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Gilbert is the only pro I can think who succeeded at one...
I'm sure there have been others, but my pro cycling knowledge is very low.
I'm sure there have been others, but my pro cycling knowledge is very low.
#7
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and yes, Cancellara pulled something similar while wearing the yellow jersey. His Milan San Remo win was similar, but that was from a much reduced field
Phinney pulled something similar in a stage of Tour of Poland, but that was further out.
All in all, so very exceedingly rare
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If you watch enough pro racing, you will see plenty of attempts but very few successes.
Also: I never tire of watching this video:
#10
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There's a lot of talk about attacking hard from 1k here, albeit not as much as there used to be, but against any remotely organized group (which is what you have at the WorldTour level) it's not likely to succeed. In a large bunch finish, there are too many big teams driving the pace really high to the finish. In a sprint from a small break, the racers are usually hyper-alert to attacks, going that early is usually going to get everyone jumping on your wheel and swarming you at the finish. Still, these are the scenarios in which a last kilometer attack actually are most likely to work in the WT. But from a full-sized and fully-organized, committed field? No way.
As already mentioned, it's not like it's super-common in our amateur races either. And what you think of as a last k attack might not be. A kilometer is a LONG way out for the kind of effort you typically need to make if it's going to stick. I've had a couple decent results in the last couple years by launching well before the sprint proper - once 4th, the other time 2nd. I think the longest one was maybe 800 meters out, the other one was more like 300 or so to go. Things these races had in common: small, chaotic fields of around 16 riders, a 1 or 2 rider break up the road and a challenging finish due to a steep climb (4th place) or lots of corners in the final 150m (2nd). And I didn't even get away clean when I got 4th - I launched really hard on the uphill on the backstretch, made it to the final corner where one guy caught me for 3rd. Heck I didn't get away clean for 2nd either, the field was breathing down my neck, but I was able to hold them off by cornering at lunatic speeds while taking better lines. The point being that it's hard to do even when everything is in your favor. The only time I can recall someone launching a real 1km attack and sticking it was the 2008 Philly Phlyer Circuit Race, Category D Div I, and that was with the help of a fairly steep exit ramp to use as a launch pad.
As already mentioned, it's not like it's super-common in our amateur races either. And what you think of as a last k attack might not be. A kilometer is a LONG way out for the kind of effort you typically need to make if it's going to stick. I've had a couple decent results in the last couple years by launching well before the sprint proper - once 4th, the other time 2nd. I think the longest one was maybe 800 meters out, the other one was more like 300 or so to go. Things these races had in common: small, chaotic fields of around 16 riders, a 1 or 2 rider break up the road and a challenging finish due to a steep climb (4th place) or lots of corners in the final 150m (2nd). And I didn't even get away clean when I got 4th - I launched really hard on the uphill on the backstretch, made it to the final corner where one guy caught me for 3rd. Heck I didn't get away clean for 2nd either, the field was breathing down my neck, but I was able to hold them off by cornering at lunatic speeds while taking better lines. The point being that it's hard to do even when everything is in your favor. The only time I can recall someone launching a real 1km attack and sticking it was the 2008 Philly Phlyer Circuit Race, Category D Div I, and that was with the help of a fairly steep exit ramp to use as a launch pad.
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There's a lot of talk about attacking hard from 1k here, albeit not as much as there used to be, but against any remotely organized group (which is what you have at the WorldTour level) it's not likely to succeed. In a large bunch finish, there are too many big teams driving the pace really high to the finish. In a sprint from a small break, the racers are usually hyper-alert to attacks, going that early is usually going to get everyone jumping on your wheel and swarming you at the finish. Still, these are the scenarios in which a last kilometer attack actually are most likely to work in the WT. But from a full-sized and fully-organized, committed field? No way.
As already mentioned, it's not like it's super-common in our amateur races either. And what you think of as a last k attack might not be. A kilometer is a LONG way out for the kind of effort you typically need to make if it's going to stick. I've had a couple decent results in the last couple years by launching well before the sprint proper - once 4th, the other time 2nd. I think the longest one was maybe 800 meters out, the other one was more like 300 or so to go. Things these races had in common: small, chaotic fields of around 16 riders, a 1 or 2 rider break up the road and a challenging finish due to a steep climb (4th place) or lots of corners in the final 150m (2nd). And I didn't even get away clean when I got 4th - I launched really hard on the uphill on the backstretch, made it to the final corner where one guy caught me for 3rd. Heck I didn't get away clean for 2nd either, the field was breathing down my neck, but I was able to hold them off by cornering at lunatic speeds while taking better lines. The point being that it's hard to do even when everything is in your favor. The only time I can recall someone launching a real 1km attack and sticking it was the 2008 Philly Phlyer Circuit Race, Category D Div I, and that was with the help of a fairly steep exit ramp to use as a launch pad.
As already mentioned, it's not like it's super-common in our amateur races either. And what you think of as a last k attack might not be. A kilometer is a LONG way out for the kind of effort you typically need to make if it's going to stick. I've had a couple decent results in the last couple years by launching well before the sprint proper - once 4th, the other time 2nd. I think the longest one was maybe 800 meters out, the other one was more like 300 or so to go. Things these races had in common: small, chaotic fields of around 16 riders, a 1 or 2 rider break up the road and a challenging finish due to a steep climb (4th place) or lots of corners in the final 150m (2nd). And I didn't even get away clean when I got 4th - I launched really hard on the uphill on the backstretch, made it to the final corner where one guy caught me for 3rd. Heck I didn't get away clean for 2nd either, the field was breathing down my neck, but I was able to hold them off by cornering at lunatic speeds while taking better lines. The point being that it's hard to do even when everything is in your favor. The only time I can recall someone launching a real 1km attack and sticking it was the 2008 Philly Phlyer Circuit Race, Category D Div I, and that was with the help of a fairly steep exit ramp to use as a launch pad.
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Vinokourov won from a very late attack out of the pack at the Olympics. Stannard's winning attack at Omloop this year was about 1k out, though that was out of the break -- you see plenty of late attacks out of breaks.
But a 1k flyer can only work if it's a surprise. It's really easy to shut down if there is any organization at all, or if even one strong guy sees it coming. So, by definition it's a rare one that succeeds.
But a 1k flyer can only work if it's a surprise. It's really easy to shut down if there is any organization at all, or if even one strong guy sees it coming. So, by definition it's a rare one that succeeds.
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Draft a school bus at 40mph for 3-4hrs and try to sprint around it and stay there for 1k.
Enter a p/1/2 crit with a couple of organized teams and try to pull that off. Then realize the teams at the protour level are collectively so much stronger than that.
The horsepower it takes to pull something like this off is huge. There are a handful of people that are actually capable of doing it, and most of them are on sprint train duty.
Enter a p/1/2 crit with a couple of organized teams and try to pull that off. Then realize the teams at the protour level are collectively so much stronger than that.
The horsepower it takes to pull something like this off is huge. There are a handful of people that are actually capable of doing it, and most of them are on sprint train duty.
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in regards to the original question - watch all the GT sprint stages - guys are always attacking at the end if given a slight pause.....it never works though because of the organization
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There is a lot of radio involved and 9 guys (if they are lucky) following plans set out in front.
If you had no radios and no teams - things would be different - I suspect.
If you had no radios and no teams - things would be different - I suspect.
#20
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Maybe this should be in the professional forum, but I think it is an interesting discussion for amateur racing too.
Why don't we see more 1km or even 1 mile fliers on flattish stages of world tour stage races? For certain types of riders in amateur racing, and also in one-day professional racing, late attacks seem to work well. Why doesn't this translate over to stage races?
Why don't we see more 1km or even 1 mile fliers on flattish stages of world tour stage races? For certain types of riders in amateur racing, and also in one-day professional racing, late attacks seem to work well. Why doesn't this translate over to stage races?
The better leadout men are good sprinters themselves. There are situations where the leadout man went so hard that the sprinter couldn't get around him, or the sprinter let a gap go because he wanted the leadout man to win. Or the leadout man sits up with 20m to go, puts both hands up in the air, and still gets 9th in the stage. Etc.
There's a question of motivation as well.
Also, a stage race is a bit diluted in that there are teams/individuals going for particular goals. So a Froome/Sky won't go absolutely bonkers to try and get away in the last km, which, if you thnk about it, is the only way a Froome/similar will win a flatter stage. Instead they're just waiting for the hilly stuff. Likewise the sprint teams (no GC rider) know that they only have this or that stage for a chance to win. They save it for "their" days.
It makes winning outside of your specialty stage very hard. The sprint teams are desperate to keep things under control in the flatter stages and therefore the last km flyers don't work very often.
If you want to see a nutty sprint just watch a non-trade team race, or one where everyone thinks they have a chance - the World Championships. It's totally nutty because everyone and everyone is thinking, "Okay, if I can win this then I just made my career."
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#21
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You'd be surprised. It was a disused NASCAR track (Nashville Fairgrounds), most of it was on the actual 1/4 mile track, but the last little bit looped through the pit and infield areas. Looks cool, not super fun to race on. But the corners through the infield were challenging.
#22
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Forgot Vino and his Champs Elysee win in the 2005 (or is it 2006) TdF. He and McGee bridged to a late attack within 2km to go, and only he and McGee managed to stay out in front. He then outsprinted McGee for an asterisked victory.