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Search: Posts Made By: dwmckee
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Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
11-18-22, 08:08 AM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Well, a lot has changed since the original post...

Well, a lot has changed since the original post but here is some good news about port backlogs in general, though there still remains some scarcity in bike parts and bike models.
...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
09-01-22, 03:08 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Some good news for a change! Just 8 ships...

Some good news for a change! Just 8 ships waiting to unload in LA & Long Beach. Lowest in 2 years!
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
11-16-21, 06:25 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Well, if you have not figured it out yet, I was...

Well, if you have not figured it out yet, I was way too optimistic in the original title. The bike shortage will extend even into 2023. Many shops are being allocated 50 - 60% of what they wanted...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
10-16-21, 09:03 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

This makes things worse unfortunately when scarce...

This makes things worse unfortunately when scarce parts are stowed away in numerous cupboards everywhere unused when they are in great demand and unavailable to folks that need them somewhere else. ...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
10-15-21, 08:34 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Well. I guess it has to get worse before it gets...

Well. I guess it has to get worse before it gets better. There are about 60 ships waiting to unload off the coast in Southern California and 25 on the way there. If you took the containers waiting on...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
08-30-21, 06:59 AM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Here is some info on how the virus has affected...

Here is some info on how the virus has affected computer chip production in Malaysia. While this is not bike parts, remember that many (most?) of Shimano's components pass through Malaysia either as...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
08-21-21, 06:39 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

I'd go for the Revolt first!

I'd go for the Revolt first!
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
08-20-21, 06:58 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

With this shortage, as in most, the distribution...

With this shortage, as in most, the distribution of scarce resources is anything but random and never seen as fair by the people at the bottom of the list. You can be absolutely certain that bikes...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
08-17-21, 07:27 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

That is about the reported average increase...

That is about the reported average increase across the industry. And you cannot get containers right now to load either.

And most folks do not realize that there is still a 25% import tariff...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
08-04-21, 06:55 AM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Here is more anecdotal info on ocean cargo rates...

Here is more anecdotal info on ocean cargo rates and capacity shortages that will be pushing up bike prices here in the US.
...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
07-30-21, 05:04 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Most manufacturers say it will be more than a...

Most manufacturers say it will be more than a year from now before the bike industru is back to 'normal'. But it will slowly and gradually get better over time.
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
06-02-21, 08:01 AM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Good article: Global Bicycle Production Hit By...

Good article: Global Bicycle Production Hit By Supply Chain Delay | J99news...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
04-10-21, 04:26 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

The 11 speed chain shortage is getting serious...

The 11 speed chain shortage is getting serious right now. Not sure how long that will go on. We have had a 750 foot roll on order for 2 months now, with delivery scheduled 180 days out which is not...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
04-10-21, 04:18 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Just the bauxite to iceland. I guess I was...

Just the bauxite to iceland. I guess I was providing too much detail. Sorry if that was confusing. I added that detail because it affedct aluminum production which eventually impacts buke frame...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
04-09-21, 05:44 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

The website is verifying almost exactly what I am...

The website is verifying almost exactly what I am saying. Only about 27% of ths ships in the canal are containerized freight ships. The rest (about 73%) and tankers, LNG carriers, etc.....
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
04-09-21, 05:33 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

The wierd thing is in some cases for accessories...

The wierd thing is in some cases for accessories like apparel, seats, racks, bar tape, cables etc. it is now turning out that a good LBS is more likely to have what you need than the big online...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
04-09-21, 05:29 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

On the parts side, at least some of the shortage...

On the parts side, at least some of the shortage is generated by people hoarding parts now just in case. And I can tell you we are doing it at our shop. Just like everyone else we had to overbuy...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
04-08-21, 05:18 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

That was right out of the Wall Street Journal...

That was right out of the Wall Street Journal from a few weeks ago. Consider bulk carriers include chemicals, fertilizer, LNG, crude oil, iron ore scrap paper (not so much anymore), etc. Just about...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
03-30-21, 07:41 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

No, about 70% are bulk cargo carriers on the...

No, about 70% are bulk cargo carriers on the Asia-Europe route, not container ships. I guess I could have worded that better...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
03-29-21, 06:10 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

About 70% of the ships thal travel the Suez Canal...

About 70% of the ships thal travel the Suez Canal are in fact bulk carriers that carry iron ore, fuel oil, ammonium nitrate and bauxite heaaded to Iceland. The plentiful and cheap hydroelectric...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
03-28-21, 01:00 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Those four hundred+ ships tied up in the canal do...

Those four hundred+ ships tied up in the canal do not just go back and forth between Europe and China. They can have other commitments all over the world after they drop their cargo (or part of it)...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
03-27-21, 09:19 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

I hope there isn't any beer on there too!

I hope there isn't any beer on there too!
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
03-25-21, 05:21 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

And if you still think it is lazy manufacturers: ...

And if you still think it is lazy manufacturers:
https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/bikeforums.net-vbulletin/558x626/evergreen_1_f079af76f3a5c7ad8a428abfcfd19c3b6120a887.jpg
A fly in the...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
03-22-21, 06:33 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

You are going to get lots of opinions on this but...

You are going to get lots of opinions on this but the answer really is "it depends." There are a lot of barely used bikes out there and some demos that have been ridden but still are eligible for...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
03-22-21, 05:58 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Bike clothing is not too bad as there is still...

Bike clothing is not too bad as there is still excess capacity for apaprel manufacturing since noone buys clothes anymore. Apparel saled were down 25% in 2020. There is still that port bottleneck...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
03-12-21, 06:47 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Definitely! We are selling used bikes within a...

Definitely! We are selling used bikes within a day of taking them in.
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
03-11-21, 10:00 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Container rates (40 foot) now $4000 form Asia to...

Container rates (40 foot) now $4000 form Asia to pacific coast wnen it was $1200 a year ago.
Shortage of empty containers in Asia to load
Small feeder ships missing connections in Taiwan to offload...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
03-09-21, 08:39 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

I do have an update to post. The shortage could...

I do have an update to post. The shortage could easily extend into 2022 as well. Many brands are already planning 2022 production and have told dealers that they may be rationed for 2022 ordering...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
02-19-21, 05:53 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

We do customer part installations all of the...

We do customer part installations all of the time. Surprisingly folks often pay the same price online as we charge in the shop for the same part, sometimes they even pay more actually. I think for...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
02-11-21, 07:24 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Hah! In April last year the only 7-speed chain...

Hah! In April last year the only 7-speed chain we could get across all of our suppliers was the bulk KMC chain spool! Once we got used to it we started to like it more than the individually wrapped...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
02-11-21, 07:13 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

If you recall, Wuhan Province (where so many...

If you recall, Wuhan Province (where so many bikes are made) was completely shut down with stay at home orders for nearly 4 months in the height of bike building season last spring. This was not a...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
02-07-21, 04:23 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Sorry, I jumped suppliers there. Bulk 7-speed...

Sorry, I jumped suppliers there. Bulk 7-speed chain from KMC. We go through it like crazy as there are just so many 7-speed hybrids and older MTBs out there.
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
02-05-21, 04:31 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Shops of any decent size can order directly from...

Shops of any decent size can order directly from Shimano and Shimano is giving more priority in ordering to local shops now actually. Some of the big online places may have some older stock still,...
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
02-04-21, 06:04 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Our shop does not sell online but we have shipped...

Our shop does not sell online but we have shipped phone orders for new bikes in the past 2 months to Washington State, Kentucky, Virginia, S Carolina and I think Florida; we are in PA.
Forum: Cyclocross and Gravelbiking (Recreational)
02-03-21, 08:24 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 28,986
Posted By dwmckee

Heads Up. The bike shortage will be through most of the 2021 season

Just a heads up to anyone that may be considering a new bike purchase in 2021 that the manufacturers basically will not be able to catch up with demand this year so if you have your eye on something...
Showing results 1 to 36 of 36


 
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