Last month I was cautiously optimistic. Based on the vaccination run rates and latest CDC recommendations, I'm now pretty optimistic.
In a few months anybody over the age of 16 that wants to get vaccinated will be given the opportunity. I obsessively look at COVID data daily. For vaccinations, as of today:
from NY Times, 3/11/2021
Herd immunity could occur significantly sooner than the end of August, as millions of Americans have had COVID-19 and recovered or were asymptomatic.
from NY Times, 3/11/2021
The wild card is the potential emergence of variants that are more contagious, more deadly, or signficantly more resistent to current vaccines.
New data changes these predictions on a nearly daily basis.