Old 05-21-22, 02:28 AM
  #118  
diphthong
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that shortish tt with less than 1,000 feet of climbing on the last stage means the pure climbers like martin, pozzo and landa the panda need to salt n' pepa it
this last week. bilbao and almeida will have the advantage on stage 21. methinx carapaz and buchmann are somewhere in between...not totally wretched against the clock but not the best. hindley didn't impress against the clock when he most needed to against tgh and the green bullet is just okay in that regard. no idea where arensman and the current maglia rosa slot into tt acumen/performance. out of the current 12 guys under 2 mins in arrears to the leader, six need to force the issue in the next few stages to go no guts no glory, four can just ride the waves/feel the vibe whilst two are relatively unknown. out of the four whatevs dudes, carapaz is the most aggressive and prob least content to sit in, follow wheels and let the course sort it out. thinking carapaz will likely try to put a few of these remaining contenders on their collective back foot and force them to race for second or third place earlier rather than later vs risking a bad stage 20 or 21 showing/crash/illness. carapaz goes hard on stage sixteen after the rest day and attempts to relegate everyone else in gc contention. picking him for the horrible prediction win on stage 16. *drinks another beer...*

Last edited by diphthong; 05-21-22 at 02:51 AM.
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