Like many questions about COVID, firm and clear numbers are hard to come by. Most of what is believed is based on modeling, which always makes it less precise, and can be quite misleading. But you’ll find lots of studies/papers/models showing infections at a rate of 5-10 x number of confirmed cases. And we do have confirmed infections in USA of 23+ million. Here’s a quick sample from a quick web search just now.
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronav...ng-100-million
https://reason.com/2020/07/23/there-...fatality-rate/
https://reason.com/2020/11/18/a-new-...y-0-4-percent/
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/down...05022020-1.pdf
https://www.statnews.com/2020/07/21/...ovid-19-cases/
https://baptisthealth.net/baptist-he...december-2019/
None of this means we should be complacent. Just that it’s a complicated topic, and the headline often doesn’t match the reality. BTW, we got our first dose of the Moderna vaccine last week. We’re vaccinating at a rate of something like a million a day this past week. I want to take that tandem tour in France as soon as it seems feasible and reasonable. As I said, that may be 2022.