I voted Pogacar but I'm mentally walking that back with the 58ish km of flattish TT.
No love for G here in the poll? I guess his TdS results didn't scream for it but I wouldn't be surprised to see him up a bit. It will be interesting to watch the intra-Ineos battles and see where Pogacar & Carapaz can steal the time to bleed a bit to the Roglics, Urans, and maybe Thomas & Porte on those two stages plus whatever other bizarre splits show up for the GC bunch on the non-mountain days.
I would not be surprised to see Tadej in a bit of a UAE hole after the first week from cross-winds or something that they won't be as on top of as Ineos, J-V, DQS, etc.