I called my LBS to yesterday to check on my FS mtn bike I ordered at the end of July. Still showing a Feb-Apr delivery but I'll be surprised if it gets here by then. He said bikes were trickling in one or two per week but last week they got zero. They have over 500 bikes on backorder and this is a small shop in a small town. He expects it to be as least 2022 before things start returning to normal as it stands now.