Originally Posted by surak

On the men's side Remco isn't gassed, Primosz is banged up but not gassed, and let's be real, Pogacar broke a sweat no more than 4 times the entire TdF (3 wins and one double Ventoux stage). Plus if anyone is trending up since the Tour, it's WvA, who came in undercooked due to appendix surgery and is gaining steam -- to put it mildly. So 2 Slovenians and 2 Belgians that will be among the favorites. Other picks with a decent chance: Woods if those extra days from leaving the Tour early helped, Dani Martinez unsurprisingly looked terrific for Bernal at the Giro, Simon Yates had a bad first week at the cold and wet Giro but came to life when it warmed up.

Then on the women's side, no one from SD Worx will be tired since they spread the load by taking turns bossing the last major race, the Giro (that and nearly all other major races). And van Vleuten opted to skip it to target Tokyo. The Dutch are huge favorites, and I don't think it's even close. Of course anything can happen but it'll be a huge upset if the Killer V's of van der Breggen, van Vleuten, Vos, and Vollering don't bring gold back to the Netherlands. I would love it if Rivera could podium, but everyone not in orange are clear underdogs.